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Research collection

Research

Analysis of economic developments, public policy and the conditions governing investment and production. The collection combines U.S. research with country studies and international comparisons.

A question-led research collection

Reports develop an argument across several sources and mechanisms. Economy studies examine a national or currency-area setting. Policy briefs concentrate on a defined intervention; comparative studies test the basis of a cross-country comparison. Data notes and explainers address the measurement and institutions on which those assessments depend.

The publication type indicates the task and depth of treatment. It does not confer a different level of evidentiary authority. Read the stated information cutoff and source material with the conclusion.

Selected research

Research Report

The composition of American economic growth

American growth must be reconciled across expenditure, industry, and input accounts. Dated official evidence and reproducible examples explain why household demand, investment, and productivity describe different aspects of the same production process.

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Research collection

160 publications

Economy Study

Wages and consumption in Japan's aging economy

Japanese wage growth reaches consumption through hours, deductions, prices, and the distribution of household income. The analysis distinguishes employee earnings from the resources of working and retired households, showing why demographic composition changes the interpretation of aggregate spending.

Economy Study

Population growth and Canadian living standards

Canadian output and output per resident answer different economic questions. This study reconciles population, productivity, hours, capital, and household purchasing power, explaining how aggregate expansion can coexist with pressure on average living standards or local capacity.

Economy Study

Mexico's place in North American production

Mexico's manufacturing exports combine domestic production with imported intermediates. INEGI's export-content methodology clarifies the distinction between direct value added, domestic procurement, and full supply-chain income, providing a basis for assessing deeper North American production linkages.

Policy Brief

Consumption support and household spending responses

China's 2025 consumer-goods support illustrates how eligibility, caps, and replacement conditions shape household responses. The assessment separates supported transactions from additional consumption, purchases brought forward, product substitution, and the distribution of subsidy benefits.

Policy Brief

European investment funding from allocation to delivery

European recovery funding links payments to milestones and targets rather than a simple total of reimbursed invoices. The brief reconciles allocations, disbursements, national execution, and service delivery, retaining the distinct deadlines and evidence relevant to the RRF's final implementation stage.

Comparative Study

Two routes to industrial expansion

Infrastructure coordination and resource processing expand industry through different mechanisms. Indian planning evidence and Indonesia’s downstream strategy are compared through complementary inputs, domestic value creation and explicit project accounts rather than export or construction totals alone.

Comparative Study

Disinflation under different external exposures

Brazilian and Turkish policy evidence highlights exchange-rate exposure, inflation expectations and backward indexation as distinct transmission channels. Controlled examples separate imported-price effects, persistent contract adjustment and administered-price changes without assigning unsupported national pass-through coefficients.

Comparative Study

Fiscal rules and investment delivery

Britain's fiscal charter and Germany's infrastructure special fund address different fiscal boundaries. A delivery-stage account separates borrowing authorization, contracts, disbursement, completed assets, and operating services, showing why additional funding and effective investment require separate assessment.

Comparative Study

Manufacturing capability in aging economies

Japanese manufacturing strategies and German training evidence highlight the interaction of automation, specialized skills, and supplier continuity. A production-line example shows how bottlenecks, maintenance knowledge, and quality determine whether investment preserves capability as the workforce ages.

Data Note

Exports valued in different currencies

Export values expressed in renminbi and dollars can grow at different rates even when the underlying shipments are identical. The conversion identity separates currency translation from product prices, quantities and exporters' realized receipts.

Data Note

Aggregate GDP and GDP per person

GDP per person changes with both aggregate output and population. Exact growth arithmetic distinguishes a larger economy from higher average output and identifies why population timing and matching price measures matter.

Economic Explainer

Interpreting the public-debt ratio

The public-debt ratio relates a stock of obligations to a period’s output. The explainer examines the effects of growth, interest, primary balances and valuation changes, and why the ratio alone cannot establish financing pressure.

Economic Explainer

The difference between output and national income

Domestic output, national income and disposable income follow different accounting boundaries. A cross-border production example explains when GDP measures local activity and when resident income or purchasing power is the more relevant comparison.

Economic Explainer

Gross trade and trade in value added

Gross trade records border transactions; value-added trade traces the origin of income embodied in final demand. A multi-stage supply chain explains double counting, domestic contributions and the limits of either measure for evaluating dependence.

Economic Explainer

Budget balances across institutional boundaries

Fiscal balances depend on institutional coverage, consolidation and the timing of recognition. A government-transfer example demonstrates how the same transactions generate different central-government, general-government and cash-flow measures without an accounting contradiction.

Economic Explainer

Capacity, production and utilization

Installed capacity, actual production and economically sustainable output measure different constraints. A plant-level example separates engineering limits, operating schedules and commercial conditions before interpreting capacity utilization or announced industrial investment.

Economic Explainer

Foreign direct investment flows and productive assets

Foreign direct investment statistics record financial relationships that need not coincide with newly installed capacity. Transaction examples distinguish acquisitions, reinvested earnings, intercompany finance and greenfield construction within a consistent investment assessment.

Economic Explainer

A scenario is a conditional calculation

A scenario reports what follows from specified assumptions; a forecast adds a judgment about likely outcomes. An explicit fiscal calculation shows how sensitivity, consistency and uncertainty should be presented without assigning unsupported probabilities.

From a finding to its evidence

Use the economy and subject links in each result to place a finding in context. A study of industrial support may connect to fiscal expenditure, trade exposure and productive capacity without treating those questions as interchangeable.

Each article is available in full. The downloadable research text preserves the analysis and source links. Printed copies should retain the title and information cutoff so that the document remains identifiable.

Research standards

Research and editorial methods explains source selection, quantitative comparisons, policy status, inference and corrections. Sources and data identifies official publication systems and the distinctions that matter when combining them.