American Economic Senate

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Research subject

Monetary Policy and Inflation

Research on price formation, monetary decisions and the financial channels through which policy reaches households and firms.

The Eccles Building of the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C.
The Eccles Building of the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C. · Image credit

Inflation as a sequence of adjustments

Price pressures can arise from demand, imported costs, production constraints and changes in relative prices. Their persistence depends on wage formation, expectations, margins and the response of spending. A change in an aggregate price index does not establish which mechanism is dominant.

Transmission through balance sheets

The effect of a monetary decision depends on who borrows, at what maturity and under which repricing terms. Existing fixed-rate debt, floating-rate borrowing and new credit respond on different schedules. Savers receive different income effects from borrowers, and exchange-rate movements can redistribute exposure across firms.

Research follows those balance-sheet differences rather than treating the policy rate as a complete measure of financing conditions.

Selected research

Research in this subject

29 publications

Comparative Study

Disinflation under different external exposures

Brazilian and Turkish policy evidence highlights exchange-rate exposure, inflation expectations and backward indexation as distinct transmission channels. Controlled examples separate imported-price effects, persistent contract adjustment and administered-price changes without assigning unsupported national pass-through coefficients.

Different operating frameworks

Monetary institutions differ in their objectives, instruments and exchange-rate arrangements. An interest-rate decision in one economy and a change in an exchange-rate policy band in another must be interpreted within their respective frameworks. Common labels do not establish equivalent policy settings.